Thursday, October 29, 2009

NEW BCS TOP 15, Oct 29th

The NEW BCS, OCT 29th version

The top 15

Again, if you have not read my blogs before, jump back a few and see how I came up with these numbers. It is NOT etched in stone but give some sense of validity rather than just having a bunch of dudes picking teams.

My NEW BCS is based on rewarding points for factors of the game, the most important being WINNING. I give 20 points for every game a team wins. But I award bonus points for other factors, such as winning at home, winning conference games, winning by certain amounts and so forth. I also award…or penalize a team if the teams on their schedule are above .500, even or below. I penalize teams that play a non Division I foe, whether they win OR lose.

Again, you’ll have to jump back to find the posts on what I am talking about, if you want I can go over it again in my next blog to explain some things. But until then, let’s count down my top 15:

#15 Utah 187 points: Folks, I gotta tell ya, the schedule Utah has played thus far is VERY poor, it is hard to put them in the ranks of the top 10 when more of their teams have losing records than anybody else. This is a heavy penalty that shows a weak strength of schedule. But there is still time to rise in the ranks, since the Mountain West is indeed a good conference this year.

#14 Virginia Tech 233 points: Two losses virtually destroys any chance to the BCS, and we all thought VA Tech was all that too. Consider this folks, this team has two losses, and still is better than Utah…if the Hokies had won one of those two games, they could easily have been in the top 10.

#13 Oklahoma State 234 points: That embarrassing loss to Houston must still be like mud in their face, but the difference between Oklahoma State and a top 10 is actually about 30 points. It’s just harder to compete at this moment with teams with 7 wins under their belt, so this could even out eventually.

#12 Oregon 235 points: This is odd because for a team with 1 loss, I have them outside the top 10. Why? Their strength of schedule takes some punch out of what they have done, although they have defeated two top 15 ranked teams. If you are looking at 6 win teams, this is one of the best, but compared to the undefeated teams, they fall behind a bit. Still plenty of time to get in the mix though.

#11 USC 261 points: Interesting, since they play this weekend against one another. Of my elite teams, I actually had USC ranked at the bottom at this period of time. This was out of my elite 8 teams, but after adding a few more teams on, I had to slide USC down even further. The margin of difference is slim, in fact they missed my top 10 by only 4 points, meaning this is by no means the end of the judgment.

#10 Cincinnati 265 points: This one is funny because I had them ranked much higher when I did the elite teams. But what may be showing is that even with a perfect record, Cincinnati still has to prove some things. Beating South Florida was their only mark, and it was a bottom 25 team. They need to run the tables to get real consideration and votes of confidence to play in that BCS Championship.

#9 TCU 271 points. Between ranks 6-11 only about 16 points separate these teams, meaning these are very close rankings. TCU has an advantage of 7 wins, but very slightly higher quality of wins and a good defense gives them some points as well. IF TCU runs the tables…are they for real?

#8 Penn State 273 points: The loss to Iowa hurts big time to Penn State, but they are only a handful of points off some better teams. Penn State can still make a game of this, if they can run the tables, but they would have to hope that Iowa loses a couple of times. Is it possible….who knows, but Penn State with a few more wins will be making a strong case for a one loss team.

#7 Pittsburgh 274 points: We see that this team is only one point better than Penn State, but that loss to NC State may have ruined a magical season. Like Cincinnati, this team suffers from a weaker schedule that could sooner catch up to them. Both Pittsburgh and Cincinnati are rooting for one another, so that when they play, it will mean much more than just two Big East teams playing one another…it could lead to a BCS Championship.

#6 Boise State 277 points: Even at 7-0 this team could be in trouble for slipping further down in the rankings. Even if Boise State continues to win, the quality of their wins against a weaker schedule could count against them…it clearly is the case with Utah, it could be the same for Boise State. So again, is wins the ONLY thing that counts? Nope, not if you want to be a champion.

#5 Florida 284 points: In light of the SEC officials and stuff going on, and with Florida playing with injured players, and the close games, this is still the team to beat. I have this team here because they are clearly one of the best teams, but now some wonder about the true strength of the SEC, if officials are playing to the “better teams”. Keep in mind that a couple of the teams ahead of Florida have an extra game under their belt, so it should all even out in the wash.

#4 Georgia Tech 287 points: This one is a BIG surprise to me folks, and considering how the ACC beats each other up, I don’t see this standing long, but to this point I think Georgia Tech is one of the best teams in the nation. If you cannot stop their triple option, you will lose. I thought for sure that this was a simplistic strategy that was years out of date, but Georgia Tech is proving that if teams don’t study for it, they will get beat by it. Georgia Tech in the BCS Championship? I think it is still too early, but don’t completely rule that out.

#2 Iowa 310 points: Now understand, Iowa is here because YES they have a perfect record, but also because they have one more game ahead of most other teams. That one game pulls a lot of points. They are only about 12 points ahead of Georgia Tech and Texas, so as those teams even out their schedule, it will tell us the true story. Iowa still has Ohio State on the schedule, which many circle as THE key game for the entire Big 10...if Iowa wins that…it will create some REAL controversy for the BCS Championships.

#1 Alabama 326 points: Everything I said about Iowa…goes for Alabama. They have an extra game ahead of the other teams, and they came within a shade of losing to Tennessee. Is this team REALLY as good as they say. I wasn’t too convinced last year, and they have the advantage of several good home game wins, and a schedule that at the moment is pretty tough, but when things shake out, as they usually do, I am not too sure this team will stay where it is. But for now, they are here.

So, those are my NEW BCS top 15, with Virginia Tech playing UNC tonight, we shall see if that changes any. A win for Virginia Tech could vault them close to the top 10...who knows?

Top 10 NFL teams OCT 29th

Top 10 NFL teams, Oct 29th

Ok, so I am a little late, sue me.

Anyway, as we get into the 8th week (7th for many) we see that the list of undefeated teams has dropped by one. So three teams remain undefeated, and they are obviously on the top 10 list.

But there is only 1 team with one loss, so obviously they are on the list too. However, there are 9 teams with 2 losses, so I had to decide who would not make it on my list. I am not putting any team with 3 losses on this week, maybe next week, but not this week.

Before I start with the top 10, let me share with you two teams that didn’t make it and why:

Green Bay Packers 4-2: Yeah, we know about the huge game this weekend when Brett Farve comes back home, but I am not convinced that this is a top 10 team. If they beat the Vikings, then they are in because their record would be 5-2, but there have been some questionable games thus far. Their only quality games thus far was against the Bears, which is now falling down to average, and vs. the Bengals and Vikings…both they lost.

Philadelphia Eagles 4-2: To be honest, I thought they would beat up the Redskins more than they did. The defense of the Eagles looks great, the offense needs a little help, and with an injury to Westbrook, this team looks weaker. I could put them on if I had one more spot, but I just need them to beat a quality team before I can do that.

And so, the top 10:

#10 Atlanta Falcons 4-2 Losing at Dallas hurt the team, whom I had as #6 last week, but I can’t discount this young team’s potential. Their schedule has been pretty hard, and to only lose 2 games is very good, yet coming up they have games against the Saints, Giants and Eagles, with a few softer ones sprinkled in. It may be hard for them to stay here and not get bumped out.

#9 Arizona Cardinals 4-2: I gotta tell you, I am not too impressed with NFC West teams, but for Arizona to travel across the country, and beat the Giants says a heck of a lot for the Cardinals. This to me could be a signature win for the team, and I have them as perhaps the 4th best NFC team in the NFL….maybe 3rd best.

#8 New York Giants 5-2: The Giants drop 3 spots for losing at home to the Cardinals, and now some start to wonder how good this team really is. Their previous 5 wins were against lesser opponents, and now having lost to the Saints and Cardinals changes how we may have to see the Giants… are they the real thing?

#7 Cincinnati Bengals 5-2: These cats are still in the mix, and after beating the Bears they have proven that this may well be a team to keep an eye out for. With the Ravens and Steelers coming up back to back, this may well define whether this team will be in the playoffs or just making cheap noise…we will know soon enough.

#6 Pittsburgh Steelers 5-2: Seems the defending champs are clawing their way back into the mix. Just last week I had them #10, and the week before that not ranked, but that win over the Vikings certainly put them back in. It proves that losing a couple of games early means nothing if you can rebound. The Steelers are certainly looking to get some “get back” from the Bengals, which comes up soon enough.

#5 New England Patriots 5-2: I am just not ready to bail out on the experience that this team has, and at 5-2, they are clearly in the hunt. I had them at #7 last week, and #9 the week before that. Winning their last two games will do that, but then again, beating the Titans and Buccs really doesn’t mean much….did anybody watch that Pats/Buccs game in London? I didn’t

#4 Minnesota Vikings 6-1: Since this is the only team with one loss, I can’t drop them too much further than this. I had them #3 last week, but the week before I had them #4, so this is about average. Losing to the defending Superbowl Champs in their home is a tough assignment, but this week when the travel to Green Bay, it will tell us much more. If Minnesota wins that game, they will have a lockdown on the division, and all but guaranteed to the playoffs. The way they are playing, I see them as the 2nd best NFC team in the league.

#3 Indianapolis Colts 6-0: For the Colts to be here, I am implying that they are the weakest undefeated team so far. Beating the Jags didn’t prove much, but the Miami game was pretty interesting. Handling the Cardinals in their house is nice, but beating Seattle, Tennessee and St. Louis does not prove much. With maybe 4 games left of some caliber, the Colts could easily rack up 10-12 wins, maybe more. I just need to see them against a tough opponent…say New England in about 3 weeks….

#2 New Orleans Saints 6-0: YES, my hometown, my place of birth, finally we are in there like swimwear! There is still a lot of work to be done, because 6-0 does not put you in the Superbowl…ask Tennessee about that 13-0 record that vanished. But I gotta tell ya, this record has been with merit. Factor out the Lions (please) and you see that this is indeed a tough schedule, beating the Eagles, Jets, Giants and Dolphins. To me, right now, this is the best NFC team in the league and seems to run with the belief that they will GLADLY give you 30 points…as long as they score 40.

#1 Denver Broncos 6-0: I thought a moment of whether the Broncos should be #1 or #2, but either way, if it ends like that, both would meet in the Superbowl. The Broncos beat Cincinnati in their house, dumped the Cowboys, beat the Patriots and stopped the Chargers…that is a good list of opponents. And I think this team is on a mission, yet I can’t help shake the feeling that the newness of it won’t last. With games against the Ravens, Steelers, Chargers, Giants, Colts and Eagles, there is NO way they are going undefeated…just not gonna happen, but four of those teams are AFC foes they need to gauge themselves against, so we will know the truth from those games.

So there ya have it, my top 10 as we slide into Halloween weekend. Have fun!

NCAA Bans Dez Bryant

NCAA bans Dez Bryant

Let’s call this what it is…a stupid move by the NCAA.

This to me is a hypocrisy of what the NCAA is supposed to stand for. They like to force all these corny public service announcements about how important academics is to these schools, and how every fan ought to act like some docile puppy while watching their favorite teams, but this foolish move seems to imply that the powers that be in the NCAA are nothing but idiots.

Say what you want about what Dez Bryant of Oklahoma State did, but there was nothing wrong with going to visit Deion Sanders…there is no rule against that. But if you are telling me that lying is punishable by losing an entire year, that is crap.

This is a terrible way to punish a student, and lets not forget that this is still a KID, for a full season. This punishment offers no venues for forgiveness at all. And to me, the fact that the NCAA wanted to speak to him again was a slap in the face of what some people call a “forgiving country”.

They kicked him out for the rest of the year a couple of weeks ago, and then wanted to talk to him again…for WHAT? The obvious reason was that maybe there was some way for them to work with Dez Bryant to see if they can still bring him back to play. But whatever came out of that meeting seemed to only reinforce the NCAA that lying is punishable by banishment from football.

I’m surprised the idiots didn’t arrest him…isn’t there a law for lying? (he said, but not laughing)

To me this is a terrible injustice because the NCAA is punishing this kid for lying, and he loses his entire season…how many of you remember the punch the player at Oregon threw at the beginning of the year? Guess what, he is allowed to come back because there is some grace involved.

Now I know that the ruling bodies in those two cases are different, because the NCAA did not kick that player from Oregon out (Blount), the ruling was passed by the university, and as such they could also turn it back, to which at this point they have done. But if they could do that, why couldn’t the NCAA?

Tell me which is more offensive…lying (which we ALL do, EVERYDAY!) or punching another player on national television.

I am not the biggest Oklahoma State fan, but I certainly am not a fan of the idiots of the NCAA who apparently like to destroy a kid’s chances to play for trivial reason.

Grow up NCAA!

The SEC Conspiracy?

The SEC Conspiracy?

So now we have a little problem here with the SEC football and their officials….

What else is really new?

As many of you know, there has been some VERY questionable calls made by SEC officials, and I remember watching one of my favorite shows, “PTI” on ESPN, and one of the guys there made a very interesting remark. He said that he felt that sometimes the officials make a call that seems to favor the WINNING team, to almost imply that sometimes the SEC officials will favor teams like LSU, Florida and Alabama over the other teams.

In fact, Tennessee Head Coach Lane Kiffin has almost implied as much, which earlier in the year people thought he was nuts.

But when Georgia was called for a celebration penalty that did not exist, that caused a problem. And then the Florida game seemed to make larger waves.

So now we have a problem, is it possible that the SEC officials are biased to the better teams, to ensure that the SEC will get their best teams to the top for a BCS Championship?

That seems foolish because after all, even if they did, Florida DID win the National Championship, right? All the scheming in the world would not have helped if they got there and lost. So there can’t be credibility to this.

But I say to you, it may not be THE factor, but it certainly has been one. Consider right now, people like to say that the SEC is the best conference…have we really seen that? Granted Alabama and Florida are undefeated, but how close did Alabama come to losing to Tennessee? VERY close. Sure they beat Ole Miss, but I honestly felt that they were seriously overrated anyway. I will give them VA Tech, that was a good game.

Florida has not put teams away like in the past, and barely escaped LSU. I know there has been some injuries on the team but sometimes the best teams are the healthiest. Both Florida and Alabama have major games this weekend…both COULD lose those games.

But the question is more about the SEC and the refs, but I think takes root in the SEC. The refs don’t make these decisions unless there is a stronger body of influence on them…that being the conference they come from. So if the refs are called into question… then the SEC as a conference must be called into question.

This is not against every fan or student, by no means am I questioning THEM, I am questioning the governing body of the SEC. Conspiracy, maybe, who am I to say, but I can give you one strong argument… African American coaches.

Everybody do your homework on this now….how many black head coaches has the SEC had in their history of college football?

Come on, you know the answer to this…

20? Nope, too high.

10? Nah, still too high.

5? Close but still to high.

2? Almost…but still too high.

The answer is one.

Folks, we are living in 2009, and the SEC has only had ONE black head coach in their history…if that does not spell a problem in “the land of the free” then something is SERIOUSLY wrong.

Sylvester Crooms is the only black head coach the SEC ever had, and I submit to you, that was conspired several years ago just to get that “goose egg” off their back. Back in about 2001 there was an interview on ABC sports about the lack of black head coaches in the NCAA, and they had the SEC Commissioner in the studio for that interview.

They asked this man about it, and his answer was almost implying “that’s just the way it is in the south”.

Jackass.

I live in the south, and although I know that is how some feel, we cannot continue to have stupid comments like that fall out of somebody’s mouth like that.

In fact, the interview with the SEC Commissioner seemed to almost backfire against him, because his ignorance seemed to be shown on national television. I remember then telling somebody that what the SEC will probably do is conspire to find the team with the worst record in the SEC, get rid of whoever that coach was, and hire a black head coach, just to say they are conforming with society…

A society that believes that quality does not come in color.

Well, to be honest, I thought that would have been Vanderbilt, since they were usually the worst team in the SEC, but Mississippi State wasn’t that far behind. So about a year or two after that interview, the SEC then had their very first black head coach…

Put on the worst team in the SEC…and expected to do miracles…yeah right.

We all know how the story goes, Crooms could not get the team to a National Championship or too many winning seasons, so they ditched him and went back to the “good ole boy” network. It might be 100 years before the SEC decides to get another black head coach, because it’s just not what stupid people do. Stupid people hire based on color of skin, not quality of character or equality.

So yeah, I DO believe there is some conspiracy going on, the past has proven it, and I love college football as much as anybody here, but sometimes the things they do are beyond foolishness. I don’t get it, the SEC has won National Championships with black quarterbacks (Tee Martin of Tennessee and Chris Leak of Florida for starters), so why is there such a racial divide for a black head coach? Heck, even the ACC, which is also in the south, has had more black head coaches in football than the SEC…in fact, got one NOW in Miami.

Oh well, far be it from me to figure this stuff out. Sometimes it just pisses me off when a sport we are supposed to have fun watching and cheering for can get tainted by morons who still live like we’re in 1959 instead of 2009.